2. Throw for 35+ touchdowns and fewer than 10 interceptions
The Jacksonville Jaguars are going to score a lot of points in 2023.
In his rookie season, Trevor Lawrence threw only 12 touchdowns. He also had a league-leading 17 interceptions so things didn’t get off to the best start for him.
His sophomore season was just what he needed though. He managed to improve that number by a lot. Having Doug Pederson there as his new head coach probably helped a lot as well but we knew Lawrence was capable of it.
He ended up having 25 touchdowns to only 8 interceptions. That is as good of a ratio as you’re going to get. Now, it is time to see him take an even bigger step.
If he wants to seriously be in the MVP conversation, he needs to have 35 touchdowns or more with fewer than 10 interceptions. He did the latter in 2022 but throwing for more touchdowns always creates a bigger risk for an interception.
He should be able to make that leap though. His numbers last year suggest that big things will happen with this next year of development.