Beating The Odds: Can The Jaguars Win More Than 5 Games?


May 13, 2013; Jacksonville, FL, USA; Jacksonville Jaguars tackle Luke Joeckel (76) hits a blocking sled during organized team activities at The Florida Blue Health

The Jacksonville Jaguars continue to be either the most underestimated team in the league or they may just be who everyone thinks they are, including Las Vegas.  Releasing their 2013 NFL Season Win Totals in the middle of May, the LVH Superbook has the Jaguars on the bottom with an over/under of five wins in 2013.  That’s .5 lower than the Oakland Raiders and Arizona Cardinals.  Combined, those three are the only teams predicted below six wins on the season.

So, can the Jaguars outperform the predicted five wins?  Or should we expect the Jaguars to be looking at a top three pick in the 2014 NFL Draft?

Personally, I’m confident that the Jaguars will be better than a five win team in 2013.  Whether that translates into actually winning more than five games is completely different.  Like all growing teams it will take time to be successful.  The Jaguars, fresh off a two win season, will likely find it takes a lot of time to be successful.  Success in the NFL is more than just one season of 10+ wins, after all.  It’s about sustained dominance.

But 2013 in the next season to worry about and I fear, based on the schedule, that the Jaguars won’t be able to find five wins.  The Jags’ best shot is early in the season, but without Justin Blackmon for the first five games it may prove to be too much for the young roster.  I’ll be rooting with the most avid fans, but reality may be too much to get past here.

For CBS Sports, it’s all about how you view the quarterback.  If you believe in Gabbert, then five wins doesn’t seem so hard to beat.  If not, then take the under.

– Luke N. Sims

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