2012 Draft Trades: The Jaguars Did Alright


Dec 16, 2012; Miami Gardens, FL, USA; Jacksonville Jaguars wide receiver Justin Blackmon (14) celebrates a touchdown catch over Miami Dolphins defensive back R.J. Stanford (not pictured) but it was called back on a penalty in the second quarter at Sun Life Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Robert Mayer-USA TODAY Sports

Under GM Gene Smith the Jacksonville Jaguars were always looking to trade back but ended up trading forward.  Whether it was Derek Cox, Blaine Gabbert, or Justin Blackmon, Smith just couldn’t sit back and wait for his guy to fall to him.  Last year it was the trade for Blackmon.  The Jaguars were sitting at number seven overall and lept two spots to land the future star wide receiver.  They gave up pick #101 and their first rounder to trade spots with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.

Here’s what the National Football Post had to say about the trade:

"DRAFTMETRICS OPINION: Any time a team moves down and stays within the first 13 picks, it isgoing to win the trade on paper. The Bucs later traded the #101 pick as part of another firstround trade-up.PREMIUM PAID TO THE BUCS:"

The premium paid to the Bucs numbers represent the odds that the players they select would pan out as either 3-year starters, 5-year starters, a pro bowl, or three time pro bowl players.  The odds weren’t high that they would make the pro bowl but as NFP noted, “any time a team moves down and stays within the first 13 picks, it is going to win the trade on paper.”  Blackmon has to be good but not necessarily something super special in order to “justify” this trade.  There is only a 4.9% chance that the Bucs added a pro bowler to their roster from the trade and Blackmon has already shown he can handle the NFL and could explode for some major yardage at any point.

– Luke N. Sims

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