Jaguars Draft 2014 : To QB or NOT QB : 2010 first round selection Tim Tebow. Mandatory Credit: Stew Milne-USA TODAY Sports

Jaguars Draft 2014 : To QB or NOT QB : 2010


Welcome to Jaguars Draft 2014 : To QB or NOT QB : 2010. There is no doubt that when the Jacksonville Jaguars draft 3rd in the 2014 NFL draft that there will be a QB available to them. Teddy Bridgewater. Blake Bortles. Johnny Manziel. One of them will be there. Even the casual Jags fan knows that QB is a position of need. There also could be one of the better pass rushers to come into the league for many years in Jadeveon Clowney also waiting to be picked.

The Jags have needed a DE for about the history of this franchise. Who should the Jags pick? Clowney, whom many feel will make an immediate impact? Or the QB that will hopefully wash the bile from our throats that was Blaine Gabbert. All come with some kind of visible flaw that could prevent them from ever being a true “franchise” player? Is it possible that the prudent move Dave Caldwell could make is trade out of this advantageous spot?

It has become very clear that a general manager that makes the mistake of drafting a QB that fails to hit will pretty much seal their fate along with their job security. For that reason, I am going to tackle this situation with a little science. Some statistical data to honor the tradition of “Those who ignore history are bound (or doomed) to repeat it”. I am going to go over the QB draft picks for the last ten years to get an idea if the mindset that I have had (that a serviceable QB could be drafted AFTER the first round) holds any water. I have made it clear in my “Gumbussy Mock Drafts” that I want Clowney if he is available. Would that be a mistake. Let’s see what recent history indicates. We have already gone over:

The year is 2010. Overall there were fourteen QBs drafted that year. Here’s the breakdown & stats.

Combined Career – 84 games played, 13,487 passing yds, 76 TDs, & 47 INTs. They have a combined QB rating average of 77.3. They have also combined for one Rookie of the Year and one playoff victory.

Mixed bag here. Bradford started out strong, though not so much statistically. He has since been injured a lot and it wouldn’t be shocking to see the Rams dip their feet in the QB draft class in 2014. Tebow is the human version of a logo. He gets a tremendous amount of attention and people who aren’t even football fans adore him. That was his downfall. Tim Tebow, even with his shocking winning run his second year including a playoff win, put up some of the worst passing stats in the history of the NFL. He was just horrible. But his fan base could not be dissuaded. They wanted him starting, no matter what. It made him a liability and it is why he is already out of the NFL.

Combined Career – 65 games played, 9,773 passing yds, 39 TDs, & 56 INTs. They have a combined QB rating average of 61.0. They have also combined for NOTHING. One player has never played an NFL down.

All I can say is EWWW! This was a bad year for QBs. Only McCoy and Kafka are still in the league and that is precarious. Not one of these guys are worthy of starting in the NFL and some were questionable backups.

Combined Career – 38 games played, 1,158 passing yds, 3 TDs, & 10 INTs. They have a combined QB rating average of 51.9. They have also combined for NOTHING. Three players have never played in a regular season game.

This has been the worst QB class I have rated. Only two of this group remain in the league and they are WAY down the depth charts. There isn’t even anything interesting about this motley crew. We’ll move on.

Summary of the 2010 QB draft class:

First round selections – One can’t find a job and the other can’t stay healthy. At least Tebow has made the NFL a ton of money in jersey sales. The one thing to take from this is that both of these players were former Heisman Trophy winners. All you people wanting to suck in 2014 to have a shot a Jameis Winston, better think twice before you assume he is a lock.

Rounds two thru seven & UFAs - Yuck, yuck, yuck! What can you take from these failures? 1) There hasn’t been a successful Notre Dame QB since Montana. 2) Big School (Notre Dame, Texas) or Little (Florida Atlantic, Fordham) if you aren’t any good, you won’t make it in the NFL. 3) Jimmy, Colt, Rusty, Levi, & Zac…Were these NFL QBs or the cast of “Saved By the Bell?”

The verdict from this seventh experiment would indicate the Jags should definitely not draft a QB…PERIOD!!! I’m exaggerating but I bet coming into the 2010 draft, some of these guys were being talked up like they were future franchise QBs. You see how that turned out! We will see how the current GMs do in May.

See ya in 2011!

Still hoping Clowney is available at #3…Michael McDonald.

If you still want Tim Tebow to play for the Jags, I give you permission to never read another one of my articles! Please send comments to twitter @gumbussy.

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Tags: Blaine Gabbert Colt Mccoy Jacksonville Jaguars Jimmy Clausen Mike Kafka NFL Draft Rusty Smith Sam Bradford Tim Tebow

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  • Post Corner

    Your comments on Tebow are some of the most disingenuous I’ve seen in a long time. Tebow may have a low completion percentage but his numbers outside of that are sound. Especially when you consider the circumstances of him starting….scheme, no offseason,no reps until they were 1-4, new coach, and the state of his O Line (ranked 30th). Quarters 1-3 his passing offense was using 22 personnel with 1 & 2 WR sets and throwing out of blind play action. They relied on Tebow to keep the play alive and find the 1 or 2 WR in a scramble drill format. They threw the ball deep a league high 20% of the time. Not a good way to promote a high completion %. That being said, Tebow still got the job done scoring TDs with 4.8% of his passes.

    Tebow’s numbers in Den: 14 reg season starts plus 2 playoffs.
    Passing: 186 of 400 2,835 yards 19 TDs 9 INTs (4.8 TD %)
    Rushing: 180 carries for 950 yards 13 TDs (5.7 Yards per carry) (7.2 TD%)

    Total Stats: 580 touches for 3785 total yards 32 TDs (5.5 TD%) 9 INTs

    Comparisons:
    2013 Kaep (16 gms): 3,721 Total yds 25 TD 8 INT.
    2013 Russel Wilson: 3896 Total yards 26 TDs 9
    Cassel Last 2 seasons 14 starts: Record 4-10 3,805 Total Yards 19 TDs, 21 INTs.
    Palmer in Arizona 599 touches 24 TDs 22 INTs
    Phillip Rivers First year starting 16 games: 508 Touches 3437 Total Yards 22 TDs 9 INTs
    Jay Cutler 2012 15 Games: 667 Touches 3266 Total Yards 19 TDs 14 INT
    Jay Cutler 2013 11 Games: 473 Touches 2739 Total Yards 19 TDs 12 INTs
    Drew Brees 1st 16 starts: 564 Touches 3414 Total Yds, 18 TDs 16 INTs.
    Joe Flacco 2013: 641 Touches 4043 Total Yards 19 TDs 22 INT
    Warren Moon 1st 2 yrs. 924 Touches 28 TDs 33 INTs
    Vick: Last two years (17 starts): 590 touches 20 TDs 13 INTs
    Matt Schaub last 2 yrs. 928 touches 32 TD, 26 INTs.
    Locker career #s in TEN: 636 touches 26 TDs, 15 INTs

    Every 2013 JAX QB & RB touches & TDs combined.
    970 touches 3441 total yards 23 TD 21 INTs

    Tebow with 390 less touches outscored the entire Jags offense!
    13 players (QBs and RBs) vs. 1 (Tebow)

    DO BETTER!

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