Jaguars RB Tank Bigsby has the potential to be a steal in Fantasy Football in 2023
By Beau Adams
Earlier this year, Jacksonville Jaguars head coach Doug Pederson mentioned that one of the team's priorities would be to deepen the running back room. So with the 25th pick in the third round, the Jags selected Tank Bigsby. All fantasy football managers know getting the key rookie running back can make a season.
Cartavious "Tank" Bigsby has been one of the most impressive Auburn Tigers running backs since Ronnie Brown. He took over as the team's starting running back as a freshman in 2020 and held the job all three years.
The 6-foot, 210-pound Bigsby runs with a nice blend of elusiveness and power. He can quickly process the movements of the defense. He is adept at gaining yards after the first hit, maximizes missed tackles, and is a decent receiving option. He is a fantastic compliment to Travis Etienne and was a tremendous score in the third round for the Jaguars, but what can be expected in his fantasy football impact?
Jaguars RB Tank Bigsby can be a sneaky good pick in Fantasy Football in 2023
Running a fantasy football analysis Tank Bigsby will be a mid-to-late-round steal anywhere after the seventh round. Bigsby will be a primary third-down back and looks to be used similarly to how James Robinson was used before he was traded. They are comparable in size, but Bigsby is a bit faster. James would see an average of 11 carries a game while Etienne was healthy.
Bigsby averaged 5.4 yards per carry at Auburn, but his biggest test on how he will do against an NFL defense was the Nov 26th game at Alabama. Bigsby averaged 4.2 yards on 15 carries. That looks to be an adequate expectation for him.
Bigsby compares closely with Brian Robinson of the Washington Commanders. Both were drafted in the third round with similar production and athleticism ratings. Therefore, Robinson's first season provides an excellent baseline to estimate Bigsby's fantasy Value. Watch this highlight and see Tank’s fantasy value IRL.
Being in the AFC South and four games against the teams in the NFC South, the Jaguars will face a schedule heavy of sub .500 opponents. As a result, they will lead most games and shift to a burn-the-clock strategy late in games frequently. This will in turn boost Bigsby's fantasy production, as he will get the bulk of that action.
Bigsby can catch balls out of the backfield, but not as well as expert gadget RB Etienne. So Etienne will see the more designed pass plays where Bigsby will get more pressure valve catches. Thus, he won't have a lot of receiving touchdowns. However, he will see more goalline and third down-red zone attempts, boosting his touchdown production.
My estimation for Tank Bigsbys rookie season is 170 carries for 785 yards, eight touchdowns, 22 receptions for 176 yards, and one receiving touchdown. He should have an estimated ninth-round projection in most fantasy drafts but be suitable for a 5-6th round production. So draft him late and start him on all 12 of the AFC and NFC South matchups.