Best NFL Prop Bets for Titans vs. Jaguars in Week 11
By Jovan Alford
The Titans and Jaguars’ offenses haven’t been playing at a high level lately, but they can change that narrative on Sunday afternoon. Tennessee has a rookie quarterback in Will Levis, but they still have veterans Derrick Henry and DeAndre Hopkins.
Meanwhile, Jacksonville has a bunch of talented players across their offense, such as Trevor Lawrence, Travis Etienne Jr., and Christian Kirk. Simply put, bettors can find valuable prop bets to wager on for this AFC South matchup.
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Best NFL Prop Bets for Titans vs. Jaguars in Week 11
- Travis Etienne Jr. OVER 21.5 receiving yards (-120)
- Christian Kirk OVER 59.5 receiving yards (-115)
- Derrick Henry OVER 56.5 rushing yards (-115)
Travis Etienne Jr. OVER 21.5 receiving yards
Etienne Jr. has had a ton of success running the ball over the last four weeks (222 yards on 65 carries, 3.4 YPC), but he’s been effectively out of the backfield as a pass catcher.
Etienne has 11 receptions (18 targets) for 131 yards and a touchdown over that four-game stretch, which is a good sign for a sputtering Jaguars’ offense. The young running back has 29 receptions (39 targets) for 275 yards this season. He’s also gone OVER 21.5 receiving yards in six out of his last nine games.
The Titans’ defense has allowed the third-fewest receiving yards to RBs, but they are ranked 24th in DVOA-RB, per ftnfantasy.com. With Calvin Ridley struggling on the outside, Lawrence needs Etienne to be the team’s second or third receiving option on a given play. I’ll take his OVER in a potential bounce-back spot for the Jaguars.
Christian Kirk OVER 59.5 receiving yards
The Jaguars got trounced 34-3 last week by the 49ers. But there was one bright spot from that game, which was Christian Kirk. The veteran wide receiver had six receptions (11 targets) for 104 yards. The last time Kirk had double-digit targets and at least 100 receiving yards was in Week 2 against the Chiefs.
The 26-year-old receiver will look to build off that performance against the Titans’ defense on Sunday. This season, Tennessee is allowing the 10th-most receiving yards to WRs and ranked 27th in pass DVOA, per ftnfantasy.com.
Kirk has gone OVER 59.5 receiving yards in five out of nine games. Outside of Etienne Jr. and Engram, Kirk is the best pass-catching option at receiver for the Jaguars.
Derrick Henry OVER 56.5 rushing yards
For our last prop bet, I’ll roll the dice on Henry’s rushing prop. The superstar running back hasn’t had a ton of memorable performances this season but can have one at any moment. Last week, Henry was held to 24 yards on 11 carries by the Buccaneers.
Henry has a rough matchup on Sunday as the Jaguars’ defense allows 86.4 rushing yards per game (fifth-best in the NFL). However, I believe he can go over 56.5 yards with enough carries. This season, Henry has gone OVER 56.5 rushing yards in six out of his last nine games and averages 105.6 rushing yards per game in his career vs. Jacksonville.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.