Best NFL Prop Bets for Falcons vs. Jaguars in NFL Week 4
By Reed Wallach
The Jaguars were stunned at home by the Houston Texans, and now turn around and head to London to face the Atlanta Falcons, who also got stymied, but to a quality opponent in the Lions.
Let's discuss the player prop market for this game as the Jaguars continue to force-feed Calvin Ridley to no avail. How can we leverage his usage to bet on both him and Christian Kirk on Sunday? The defense has struggled this far, but Desmond Ridder has showcased limiting passing chops, what's the best way to back Jacksonville's defense?
Here are my three favorite player prop plays on Sunday, but if you want a play on the over/under, check out Iain MacMillian's "Road to 272"
Best Player Props for Falcons vs. Jaguars
- Calvin Ridley OVER 5.5 Receptions
- Christian Kirk OVER 52.5 Receiving Yards
- Desmond Ridder UNDER 19.5 Completions
Calvin Ridley OVER 5.5 Receptions
Ridley has only five catches over the last two games, but the target share is too hard to ignore. He has 15 targets in those games as Trevor Lawrence continues to look his way. I think Ridley continues to get force-fed the ball against his former team, but this time around he hauls it in.
Remember Week 1 when he had eight catches for 101 yards on 11 targets? Ridley is a sleeping giant this season in what should be a bounce-back effort for the Jags offense.
Christian Kirk OVER 52.5 Receiving Yards
After a quiet Week 1 with one catch for nine yards, Kirk had 11 catches for 110 yards and four grabs for 54 yards last week. While Ridley continues to get contested passes, Kirk has slipped through the defense and has been an explosive threat for the Jaguars. While I think Ridley sees volume, Kirk is the one who can rack up yards.
Desmond Ridder UNDER 19.5 Completions
Ridder looks way out of depth on the field thus far. He has failed to pass for more than 240 yards this season in three starts and is averaging 18.3 completions per game. So, we are counting on an average passing game from the Falcons, but I don't expect that.
Atlanta's preference is to keep the ball on the ground and lean on the likes of Bijan Robinson, the only reason why Ridder went over this number in Week 3 was because the Falcons fell so far behind the team had to go to the air. Ridder finished with 21 completions last week, which is a ceiling outcome for him.
Against a lackluster Jacksonville defense, I believe Atlanta will look to keep up by attacking on the ground.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
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