I'm going to assume, in good faith of course, that you read the title of this post already. Doing so prevents me from having to add a spoiler tag to this good old-fashioned Jacksonville Jaguars-flavored homerism.
The Jags are good. Really good. So good that they're easily the best team in the AFC South by a considerable margin.
For one, the franchise is the most stable it's been in quite some time. Under center, Trevor Lawrence finally got that looming Bengal off his back and proved that he could ride his defense to a big win on the road. The Kansas City Chiefs might be back, which means Jacksonville will need its field general to prepare for the inevitable and keep stacking together solid performances away from home.
Of course, there's a fanbase in the AFC South that's probably upset at this intro. We just got through September and I'm already thinking about conference title game scenarios. They might have a point since their team has shown so much heart the past three weeks; but I'm not the only one who's a bit skeptical.
The Colts are clearly the 2nd-best team in this AFC South, but the national media could care less
The Colts deserve a lot of credit for rebounding from their 0-2 start. They began their campaign against the Baltimore Ravens and Kansas City Chiefs, which would have been a hard out for anybody but the Seattle Seahawks. After facing those juggernauts, the Colts galloped to two victories against the struggling Houston Texans and the injury-riddled Washington Commanders.
Beating Houston puts Indy over them automatically, but being the second-best squad in the AFC South doesn't seem to matter much outside the division. Sports Illustrated's Peter Miller looked at various power rankings and saw that nobody in the national media knows who the Colts are yet.
To keep it a buck, I don't know who they are either. Luckily (depending on who you ask), the Jaguars don't have to play Indianapolis until November 1st. The Colts could end up being the hottest team in pro football by then, but we'll just have to wait and see.
HOWEVER, we definitely won't have to worry about these next 2 franchises making a run in 2026
An NFL game between two cities that have stolen franchises from each other and were once the standard bearers of their division should be the hottest piece of inventory in town. Amazingly, that isn't the case, as the 0-4 Houston Texans travel to Nashville to take on the 0-4 Tennessee Titans.
I’m gonna pass
— The Weather Channel (@weatherchannel) October 5, 2026
You might be passing this weekend, Mr. Weather Channel, but the Titans definitely aren't. Cam Ward has only passed for 726 yards through the first four games of the season. CJ Stroud, who has his own list of struggles to overcome, almost laps him with 1,141.
As far as points are concerned, Ward has thrown three touchdowns and rushed for another. In this regard, he's actually pretty close to his opponent this week, as Stroud's scored five, with each one being through the air.
You'd think I'd be putting Houston in third place since they have the better QB, but the personnel around the Ohio State alum has been that bad.
Houston's offense is averaging 79 rushing yards per game after their first four contests. On defense, they've only recovered two fumbles and picked the ball off once.
When your running game can't chew the clock and your defense can't force turnovers, any offense will figure out how to beat you eventually.
Heh, not that one.
Well, any offense but Tennessee's.
The Titans have only scored six touchdowns this season and are a balanced offense by force. Ward's sophomore slump (after a rookie season that already wasn't that great) hinders his team's chance of success every week. However, if he can have a 300-yard day on Sunday, he might get his first win of 2026.
This is clearly the Jaguars' division to lose
With Houston and Tennessee being tied for fourth place (only winners get bronze medals around here), Indianapolis looks like the Jaguars' only challenger by default.
Jacksonville isn't a perfect team by any means, but being perfect hasn't won a Super Bowl since 1972 anyway.
Going 6-0 in the division is unrealistic because of how crazy rivalry games get. That being said, the non-AFC South games on Jacksonville's schedule should develop the calluses needed to play the division's gritty style of ball.
Winning back-to-back AFC South Championships for the first time in franchise history would give the Jags another chance to host a playoff game and lean on the home crowd's support. With the way the league's looking this year, stacking the deck in Jacksonville's favor would give the team the best shot it's had in a decade to finally bring the big one home.
Things look good going into Week 5, but how will they be by the time the Jags face the Texans in London?
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