Chargers vs. Jaguars prediction and odds for NFL wild card round (Jags advance)

Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports
Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Trevor Lawrence. Mandatory Credit: Nathan Ray Seebeck-USA TODAY Sports /

The Jacksonville Jaguars have all the momentum in the world on their side after defeating the Tennessee Titans in Week 18 to win the AFC South.

That sets them up for a matchup on Wild Card Weekend with the Los Angeles Chargers, who lost Mike Williams to injury in Week 18 against the Denver Broncos. Brandon Staley made the questionable move of playing his starters for the majority of the game against Denver.

Trevor Lawrence and Justin Herbert are two of the best young quarterbacks in the game, but coaching could be a huge factor here, as Doug Pederson certainly knows what it takes to win important playoff games.

The Chargers are favored in this game, but the line has moved from L.A. -2.5 to -1.5 since open.

If you’re looking to bet on this game, we have you covered with the latest odds and a pick for this Wild Card Weekend matchup:

Chargers vs. Jaguars odds, spread and total

Chargers vs. Jaguars betting trends

  • The Chargers are 11-5-1 against the spread.
  • The Jaguars are 4-0 against the spread as home underdogs.
  • The Jaguars are 8-9 against the spread.
  • The OVER is 6-10-1 in the Chargers’ games this season.
  • The OVER is 8-9 in the Jaguars’ games this season.

Chargers vs. Jaguars prediction and pick

The Jaguars are one of the best teams against the spread as home dogs this season, going 4-0 against the spread, and they’re really playing with house money in this game after a miracle finish to the season to win the AFC South.

Money is already coming in on the Jags, and I think it’s for good reason, as the Chargers may be a little overrated in this game.

Los Angeles has a good team on paper, but the numbers show that they aren’t a clear-cut better team.

The team ranks 20th in the league in yards per play this season, while the Jaguars slot in at ninth. Given how much Trevor Lawrence has come along, I like Jacksonville to at least cover in this game, but I’m going to get bold and take the Jags to win.

Jacksonville’s home crowd is going to be rocking, and the Chargers have struggled to stop the run all season, which should take some pressure off of Lawrence. With Williams potentially out for the Chargers, I think that gives the Jags a huge edge with how they’ll have to defend L.A.

The Cinderella run continues in the wild card.

Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.