July 27, 2012; Jacksonville FL, USA; Jacksonville Jaguars quarterback Blaine Gabbert (11) and quarterback Chad Henne (7) during the first afternoon of training camp practice at Florida Blue Health

Henne vs Gabbert: Fun Numbers


I was thinking about Chad Henne vs Blaine Gabbert for some time while procrastinating on writing my thesis (again) when it occurred to me that there is nothing better than the numbers to tell us what’s up.  Sure, Gabbert has had much more playing time than Henne, but we can extrapolate on those numbers, can’t we?

Completion Percentage:

  • 58.3% for Gabbert
  • 55.7% for Henne

Yards:

  • 1,662 yards for Gabbert.  We’ll call it 1,6662 in 7.5 games, or 221.6 yards per game.
  • 830 yards for Henne. We’ll call it 830 yards in 3.5 games, or 237 yards per game.

Touchdowns:

  • Gabbert has 9
  • Henne has 7

Interceptions:

  • Gabbert has 6
  • Henne has 2

So, who is better?  Henne is producing more touchdowns with less time on the field (assuming my rough 3.5 games to be accurate) and chewing up yards at a slightly better rate than Gabbert all while completing less throws.  So, is he actually playing better?

Gabbert has his nine touchdowns on 278 attempts this season (3.2% of his passes).  Henne, however, has seven touchdowns on only 97 pass attempts (7.2% of his passes).  That’s a pretty good number.  Further, Henne is averaging 8.5 yards per attempt and 15 yards per completion compared to Gabbert’s six yards per attempt and 10.2 yards per completion.  Even when hitting less passes, Henne is still going to outproduce Gabbert after just a few throws.

Even counting the less than mediocre Oakland game, Henne is outproducing Gabbert in every category that matters in a game.  Will he have bad games?  Yes.  But his good games – like the past two weeks – more than make up for his lack of efficiency in those bad games.

Of course, if he isn’t winning then it doesn’t really matter at all. Speaking of that:

Winning percentage as Starter in ’12:

  • 10% for Gabbert
  • 1000% for Henne

Who said anything about being selective in my data?

- Luke N. Sims

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Tags: Blaine Gabbert Chad Henne Jacksonville Jaguars

  • Messina

    Not Jags related but what is your thesis on?

    • LukeNSims

      Whether an Elite Bureaucratic System like that of 1970s Japan would be Beneficial to American Politics. It’s going to rival the Hunger Games in excitement.

      • Messina

        Actually I think that is very interesting, in part because of the success that Japan experienced in the 1970s prior to their decline in the 80s, (if I remember correctly).
        My thesis is on the effects that the naval engagements in the Atlantic during the War of 1812 have affected the way in which the war was remembered in America, and to some extent how America dealt with naval defeats. So Twilight move aside, a new love story is being written.

        • LukeNSims

          Oh, I love it; especially since I’m making up an entire bureaucratic system based on one that doesn’t mesh well with American politics (would you allow your non-elected, non-removable bureaucrats write legislation?).

          That sounds fascinating. I must admit I don’t know much about the War of 1812, except that Monroe was president. I did a paper on Hamilton’s ethics shaping America one time but other than that I’m a little hazy on details until James K. Polk and the Civil War.

          History major I’m assuming?

          • LukeNSims

            And by Monroe I mean Madison.

          • Messina

            Lol I figured you meant Madison, but hell Monroe was Secretary of State and Defence (for a years or so). Yes, I am a history major, I’m currently working on my masters in history. The War of 1812 is very much a unknown war, unless you live north of the boarder like myself lol. I would presume that you are a political science major?

          • LukeNSims

            Doing the masters in Public Administration now. International Relations and Comparative Politics was my undergrad, hence the Japan thing.

            I don’t know if it’s so unknown. It asserted the abilities of the US and helped lead to the Monroe (got it right this time) Doctrine, so that’s kind of a big deal. Of course, correct me if I’m wrong.

          • Messina

            It takes a special person to do Public Admin lol so all the power to you. However, your undergrad seems very interesting as well (and I mean that).
            I’m not going to lie but my knowledge of US history gets hazy after 1815 and doesn’t come back into focus again until 1914, I’m more of an Early Republic guy.