Looking Ahead: Jaguars’ 2011 Draft Needs

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Editors Note: I would like to introduce to all of our readers out there a new contributor to Black&Teal – Jason Love, from Jacksonville and Tallahassee, Florida. Jason is an extremely knowledgeable and forward-thinking fan and a valuable ambassador for the Jags out in the Florida Panhandle.  Black&Teal will be assembling a 2011 mock draft before too long and Jason has already been contemplating the Jaguars’ strategy. Everyone please welcome him to the B&T family!

Hello all, Jason Love here – you might have seen me post on the Jaguars MB, BCC, JagNation (though no longer), draftcountdown, etc. I go by the moniker “The Linebacker”. I’ll lead into my first ever article with a brief history of myself. I’m a massive Jaguars fan currently marooned in Tallahassee. I own season tickets and make it to as many games as possible and when I can’t make it or it’s an away game, I watch the games with the Tallahassee Jaguars Club. I played football through middle and high school and attended UF for undergrad. Now I’m at FSU for graduate school, which hinders my Jaguars viewing capabilities. Enough with me, on to my take of the Jaguars roster and where they will be looking for help next year during the offseason.

DISCLAIMER — Remember boys and girls. GM Gene drafts with the BAP (Best Available Player) strategy. He loves trading down and hates trading up. He loves big guys over small guys. He loves polished and mature players over immature players and “projects”. He loves a good motor and a never quit attitude over players that take plays off. He has a history of taking seniors and captains. FINALLY AND MOST IMPORTANTLY, he loves BAP… wait, did I already say that? Anyway, remember this when reading the analysis, because what I’ve outlined is perceived need, not BAP. If an amazing OT was available every time the Jags picked, I fully expect (and you should too) that GM Gene will either draft that player or find someone willing to trade up so that he can acquire more draft picks. THE KEY IDEA IS YOU TAKE THE BEST PLAYER AND FIND A WAY TO PLAY THEM.

Get the position-by-position breakdown after the jump…

TEEM NEED EXPLANATIONS:

  • QB: Garrard is mercurial. He is fire and ice. When he is on, he is ON. When he is off, well…you get the gist. Garrard has played very well though most of the season. His contract still has as least 3 years on it. The problem is he is old and the Jags have no QB prospects on the roster (all apologies to McCown and Edwards). The Jaguars haven’t drafted a QB since 2004 and that is a major issue. GM Gene is on record as saying that they want a QB and that this is a very strong QB draft. He has made moves to acquire more picks and has stated that while he doesn’t like trading up, a QB is something that he would trade up for. Summation…

*Jags need a future franchise signal-caller.

  • RB: Maurice Jones-Drew, no comment. Rashad Jennings is a good change-of-pace back. He’s got good size and can pound out the yards. He also has great hands out of the backfield. His issues seem to come with indecision. Deji Karim, a 6th rounder last year, is the primary KR and can spell MoJo at any time. He’s build just like MoJo, 5’8″ 200lbs and runs just as hard and may be faster.

*Running back is good.

  • FB: Montell Owens is a ST ace and a capable blocker. Brock Bolen showed some running ability in the preseason and has the ability to block. Greg Jones was thought to be trending downward but in the last few games has shown renewed vigor and when he plays well, he plays VERY well. They have also started to reincorporate Jones into the offensive play selection.

*FB is good.

  • WR: MSW is a good WR. He has sure hands and good athletic ability. His problem? He can’t stay healthy and disappears at times. Mike Thomas is a very good receiver with extremely good hands and a great build for YAC (yards after catch). He might be the best receiver on the team. Kassim Osgood has OK hands and decent athletic ability. He mainly is on the team for ST, as he is a Pro Bowler in that regard. Jarrett Dillard has exceptional route running and hands, but he has landed on IR for the last 2 years and cannot stay healthy. Tiquan Underwood has great speed and good height, but lacks bulk and consistent hands. The last WR spot is always rotational. Currently on the WR block- Jason Hill, John Matthews, Clarence Denmark, and Nate Hughes.

*Jaguars need a consistent 3rd WR.

  • TE: Jaguars have a very good TE corps. Marcedes Lewis is one of, if not the best, all-around TE’s. He is a top 5 blocker and a top 10 receiver. He is currently 2nd in the NFL with TD grabs. Zach Miller is a QB turned TE. He has great athleticism and very good hands. He just needs to learn the position a bit more and improve his blocking. Zach Potter is a pure blocking TE. He has massive size, but needs to improve his catching. This is an ascending group. Mike Caussin is currently on the practice squad and offers intriguing upside.

*The TE’s are good.

  • OT: Eugene Monroe and Eben Britton are the building blocks of the offensive line. Currently, Monroe is farther ahead than Britton, especially now that Britton is on IR. Britton is considered a better run blocker and Monroe is consider a better pass blocker. The backups aren’t much to speak of, but Black has held his own so far in Britton’s place. Haslem has good size and upside. Whimper (former 4th rounder) is a journeyman type. The PS has Baldridge, who offers massive size, which you just cannot teach. A Colliereqsue project.

*The Jaguars could use a solid OT to push Monroe and Britton to new heights or to supplant them.

  • OG: The Jaguars have an aging interior line. The Jaguars currently have 3 G’s on their roster. 30 y.o. Manuwai, 29 y.o. Smiley and 26 y.o. Nwaneri. Manuwai, when playing well, is one of the most dominating run blockers in the league, but has been hobbled by his knee injury from 2 years ago. Smiley was a very good starter for SF and Miami, but has since been slowed by injuries and was recently beaten out of the OG position by Manuwai. Nwaneri just recently received a contract extension and plays the pass and the run both equally well. The Jaguars have no players on IR or the PS currently.

*The Jaguars need some new blood here desperately.

  • C: The Jaguars currently have one true center on the team, Brad Meester. He is 33 y.o. and as of last year, was not playing very well. This year he has had a slight resurgence and is playing pretty well for the most part. Nwaneri was in a battle for the starting C position with Meester and might be the heir apparent. The Jags currently have Brad Vierling on the IR and John Estes on the PS. Both have some upside.

*The Jags need a new center to be at the very least Meester’s replacement when age catches up to him.

Check out the Jags’ defensive needs on the next page…

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Tags: Bap Draft Gene Smith Jaguars

  • zoltanfrombudapest

    First of all; hello Jason; welcome to B&T

    Second of all- thank you for breaking down the roster towards 2011. Great stuff; and I agree with your points. But you forgot to mention one factor- many Jaguars layers will be FA after this season. Marcedes Lewis; Mike Sims-Walker; Justin Durant; Kirk Morrison; Adam Podlesh; Sean Considine and both backup QBsEdwards and McCown.
    I doubt Gene will bring everybody back from them.

    I think Marcedes and Justin is a lock; the way they play. MSW is depending on how much he wants; I expect him being tender with a1st round pick. Morrison is a great guy; but I think if Gene can find a good MLB in the 1-2 rounds (I name it- Mark Herzlich from Booston College) he might be ut. It will be interesting to watch what happens with the 2 young backup QBs. If Gene is smart; he might can et extra low round ppicks for them; if he extend both guys.

    Now as our needs – my list is the following: CB (I think sadly Mathis will be the next great Jaguar who will leave the team next year); FS (I’m not sold on Carey; not at all….); a new LB; a new QB (he must be selected in the first 3 rounds!) and a DE (Harvey will be cut or traded after this season; and Jaguars must find the replacement of Aaron Kampman.) Depend on what happens with MSW; a new WR also needed. But I like the Thomas; Dillard; Hill trio If MSW will play for this team next year the WR group will be fine. If not; then Gene must find a new guy in the first 3-4 rounds as well. Remember we have 2 4th round picks next year right now.

    • thehof

      Zoltan – great followup analysis, as usual. A lot of people say QB in the 1st round but I’m more interested in CB there. I think there will be great value for QB’s well into the 2nd round and maybe the 3rd (where they’re now projecting Ponder). What I really want for Christmas (in April) is a CRUSHING linebacker – a James Harrison type. A relentless player that other young guys can look at his play and say “I need to be doing that”, setting the tone for the rest of the defense.

      I’d also be fine with a DE, interior O-line, or even an additional DT in the first few rounds.

      • James

        Sorry Man but I think CB in the first wouldn’t be the way to go. Mathis and Cox are a pretty good 1 and 2 we need depth and I don’t think you take a 3rd CB in the first round. The people I like in the first round for the Jaguars are Rahim Moore S UCLA, Adrian Clayborn DE Iowa, etc.

    • prerogative 1

      There are some great answers coming from both you and Gene Smith and those are great guys you name on FA, and I agree with your choice of Durant and Lewis also I would throw in the punter Podlesh, however let cut to the chase and that is again Wayne Weaver has given JDR one more year to get this team to aleast a play off birth no one said he had to win, just get there, problem if this coach did not do it in 8 years what is he going to do in 9 years, let us not forget Garrard is in his 10th year also. Now here is what got to happen and you doin’t have to be on the Jaguars pay roll to figure this out, Gene Smith has at this point did a great job replacing Shack Harris if you know football and you listen they said they would be aggressive in free agency, that is a no brainer they must be aggressive in free agency, why? if you are going to save JDR job in Jacksonville for the future you have to put a big play veteran reciever with the core of reciever you have giving Garrard some one who truly can stretch the field and have a balance attack, we can not go into next year with team continuing to put 8 and 9 in the box and MJD making statements that he does not care if you put 13 in the box, that not real football, real offences are balanced attacks, otherwise to add to the mix in the draft politices saids Gene Smith had better draft a quaterback, and make no mistake if Arkansas quaterback RM is there Gene will pull the trigger, and the reason being they would never trade up knowing thre are teams wish they were picking 16th, so the Jags will stay put at 16th there will be some great DE to choose from and that is largely because of Kampman being old and Derrick Harvey is nothing short of a bus in the AFC South you build your team to stop the best team and that is the Colts of course we must buld a consistant pass rush thank you Derrick Harvey so free agency and drafting a quaterback is at the top of Gene Smith agenda if not he will be on a bus headed up out of here, being aggressive in free agency will put balance on this young team, you see what Aran Kampman did for our pass rush and doin’t forget D’Anthony is healthy to add to the front 7 in short it is all about the pass rush, simply put if you have a real pass rush and a good sceem to get to the quaterback the front 7 can make the corners look great and let us not forget if Gene Smith is really smart he will take a center to beef up the protection for Garrard and that is a safe pick knowing we must put point on the board this season, Prerogative..1 out.

  • jason

    I agree. I completely overlooked FAs. GM Gene will get the good players back one way or another. Be it through tenders, franchise or other tags. I have no doubt he will resign the best people.

    If I had to rank the needs of the Jaguars it would be
    CB, QB, OG/C, LB, FS, DE, WR, DT, OT, FB, RB, P, K

  • jagsoldier

    Welcome to B&T Jason. Great article, Ive been waiting for a roster assesment for awhile now, hint hint Zoltan.lol. Anyway, I agree with tall the needs everyone has posted. If Gene can keep Durant, MSW, and Lewis then I wont be upset about the other guys leaving. Next draft is going to be a good one because Gene has been collecting picks and he might be trading some guys for more, ie Mathis and Morrison. I have a question for all of you. What draft have you liked better? 2009 or 2010.

    • thehof

      Depends on what the pass rush looks like in 1-2 years and I wanna see deji and scotty giving us great field position and 1-2 return tds per year. But right now ’09 is looking like a historic jaguars draft class that will be tough to beat.

  • jason

    As of right now, the 2009 draft is better. Starting DT, 2 starting OT’s, 1 starting WR, 1 very good back up TE, 1 good back up RB, Starting CB, 2 WRs with potential

    It really isn’t close to be honest.

    • jagsoldier

      I like 2009 as well. We had more picks that year and everyone of those players shows promise. But I am big on Alualu, Deji, and Lane. I need to see some more out of Hart and we havent seen anything from McGee and Smith yet but I am confidant that they will be contributers next year

  • brobles

    love the article… i like how you actually tell how we need offensive talent in the draft… we keep draft interior lineman, the “we need a good dline to stop the big passers in the division” stements is overused and you need good secondary to stop the passers, which i feel we dont have. How bout offensive firepower to outscore the opponents? we have a great running game and solid corps if we actually threw the ball. i would love us to draft a Deandre brown in the later rounds as a big fast target. and if jake locker falls to second round id like to get him there, if not i like tyrod taylor in say the 4th.hes fast, strong arm,accuracys improved and played undercenter more than all these spread qbs.with some technique refining hes the closest thing to vick in a while.we shud get a qb who can move the pocket, like him since our lines pass blocking is still suspect, so instead of stock piling oline get a more mobile qb.I’d like to see a secondary pick with our first round if not a qb.people talk about offensive 1st rounders not working out but how many early round lineman picks have worked out for us lately????? we need offensive firepower to SCORE with these teams nd balance out our top 5 nfl rush attack.bring in an exciting player